@RISK for Project 風險分析軟體
- @RISK for Project 風險分析軟體
介紹@RISK for Project uses Monte Carlo simulation to show you many possible outcomes in your project – and tells you how likely they are to occur. This means that you finally have, if not perfect information, the most complete picture possible. You can determine which tasks are most important and then manage those risks appropriately. While no software package can predict the future, @RISK for Project can help you choose the best strategy based on the available information. That’s not a bad guarantee!
@RISK for Project 風險分析軟體
@RISK for Project Shows You Many Possible Outcomes
@RISK for Project uses Monte Carlo simulation to show you many possible outcomes in your project – and tells you how likely they are to occur. This means that you finally have, if not perfect information, the most complete picture possible. You can determine which tasks are most important and then manage those risks appropriately. While no software package can predict the future, @RISK for Project can help you choose the best strategy based on the available information. That’s not a bad guarantee!
The power of Monte Carlo simulation lies in the picture of possible outcomes it creates. Simply by running a simulation, @RISK for Project takes your project model from representing just one possible outcome to representing thousands. With @RISK for Project, you can answer questions like, “What is the probability of completing this milestone on time and under budget?” or “What are the chances that this project phase will be completed by this day?”
Define Uncertainty with Ease
Replace uncertain values in your spreadsheet with @RISK probability distribution functions. You’ve probably heard of some of these, such as normal (“bell curve”), uniform, and triangular distributions. Choosing which @RISK distribution function to use is easy. @RISK for Project comes with a distribution viewer that lets you preview various distributions before selecting them. You can also use your own historical data and @RISK for Project’s integrated data fitting tool to select the best function and the right parameters.
Present Results with Stunning Graphs
@RISK for Project provides a wide range of graphs for interpreting and presenting your results to others. The @RISK Gantt Chart lets you see simulation results directly in Project’s native Gantt Chart. Histograms and cumulative curves show the probability of different outcomes occurring. Use overlay and summary graphs for more advanced comparisons. Right-click menus and handy toolbars make navigation a snap. You can also generate a one-page, ready-to-print Quick Report of statistical results and graphs!
Identify the Most Important Tasks
@RISK for Project provides you with Sensitivity and Scenario Analyses to determine the critical factors in your models. Use Sensitivity Analysis to rank the uncertain factors in your model according to the impact they have on your outputs. See the results clearly with an easy-to-interpret Tornado diagram, then take appropriate management action.
Conditional Modeling and Contingency Planning
The Professional version of @RISK for Project includes a set of branching features that enable you to build in contingency plans if certain events occur. Account for chance events in your model with ease.
@RISK 7.5 offers a range of improvements for any decision maker, from general use enhancements to new, specialized analytical features. New and enhanced graphing options, faster performance, and sophisticated analytics make @RISK 7.5 the only risk analysis tool you’ll need.
ModelRisk 是一個 Monte Carlo 模擬 Excel 插件，允許使用者在其電子表格模型中包含不確定性。自2009 年以來，ModelRisk 一直是市場上的創新領導者，它是第一個引入許多蒙特卡羅方法技術功能的公司，這些功能使風險模型更容易建構、更容易審核和測試，並且更準確地配對您面臨的問題。
Monte Carlo Simulation 45 Probability Distributions with easy-to-use interface, running Super Speed Simulation (thousands of trials in a few seconds) with Comprehensive Statistics and Reporting, Distributional Correlations with Copulas, Latin Hypercube and Monte Carlo Simulation, Truncation, Percentile Alternate Parameters and Percentile Fit, Linking capabilities, Multidimensional Simulations, Simulation Profiling, 6 random number generators, and Risk Simulator functions in Excel